← Grand Archive MRC Regionals 2024
Wind Neos TonorisTier 3
at Grand Archive MRC Regionals 2024
decks
1
(0.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
2-4-0
overall winrate
33.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
42.0%
avg ELO -4.3 per match
expected value
38.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
40.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1005
· median 1005
· range 1005–1005
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
941
Q1 1189
Q3 1367
1685
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Allies | 26.3% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 34.6% | -14.7 |
| Slimes | 13.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.9% | -12.9 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 7.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.4% | -13.8 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 6.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 4.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.2% | +18.0 |
| Wind Slimes | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Norm Tera Silvie | 1.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.9% | +12.7 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slice & Dice | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Diana | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Overlord | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Diana | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Wind Neos Tonoris decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.